Fiscal Limits to Protectionism: The 2025 U.S. Tariff Laffer Curve

arXiv:2602.18938v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We quantify the Tariff Laffer Curve for the U.S. using a multi-sector Ricardian model calibrated to the 2025 US trade war. We find revenue-maximizing tariffs of 20--30 percent and welfare-maximizing rates of 0--10 percent. We def...

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