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If TikTok influencers are to be believed, testosterone, or T, is the answer to everything from fitness frustrations and fatigue to low libido. But doctors...
Crude exports to Havana are drying up, according to Kpler, amid US blockade of Venezuela and pressure on Mexico
Build-up of American military power comes as US president weighs strikes
New research describes how commerce shaped our culture
Moscow’s energy revenues fell by a fifth in 2025 compared with previous year
The success of weight-loss drugs has driven demand for injectable compounds that claim to improve everything from sleep to skin
The Earth-size planet HD 137010 b has a ‘50% chance of residing in the habitable zone’ of its sun-like star, scientists sayAstronomers have discovered a...
arXiv:2601.20035v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A principal must allocate a set of heterogeneous tasks (or objects) among multiple agents. The principal has preferences over the...
arXiv:2601.20169v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Does euro adoption affect long-run economic growth? Existing evidence is mixed, reflecting limited treated countries, long horizons that challenge inference,...
arXiv:2601.20238v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The emergence of large language models (LLMs) is reshaping how people engage in political discourse online. We examine how the...
arXiv:2601.20285v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study the causes and consequences of bank runs using a novel dataset on bank runs in the United States...
arXiv:2601.20452v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Prediction markets mobilize financial incentives to forecast binary event outcomes through the aggregation of dispersed beliefs and heterogeneous information. Their...
arXiv:2601.20463v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We provide a set of probabilistic laws for estimating the quadratic variation of continuous semimartingales with realized range-based variance --...
arXiv:2601.20469v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We propose a nonparametric estimator of the empirical distribution function (EDF) of the latent spot variance of the log-price of...
arXiv:2601.20724v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Extreme political shocks may reshape economies not only through contemporaneous disruption but by altering beliefs about the distribution of future...
arXiv:2601.20728v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study the design of optimal allocation mechanisms in an environment where agents and goods arrive stochastically. Agents have private...
arXiv:2601.20853v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This paper suggests methods for estimation of the $\tau$-quantile, $\tau\in(0,1)$, as a parameter along with the other finite-dimensional parameters identified...
arXiv:2601.20018v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: This paper introduces a version of decoupling and randomization to establish concentration inequalities for double-indexed permutation statistics. The results yield,...
arXiv:2601.20197v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Finite mixture models are widely used in econometric analyses to capture unobserved heterogeneity. This paper shows that maximum likelihood estimation...
arXiv:2601.20487v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The introduction of artificial intelligence (AI) agents into human group settings raises essential questions about how these novel participants influence...
arXiv:2401.03607v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: A long-lived Bayesian agent observes costly signals of a time-varying state. He chooses the signals' precisions sequentially, balancing their costs...
arXiv:2403.12456v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Inflation exhibits state-dependent, skewed, and fat-tailed dynamics that make risk a central concern for monetary policy. Accordingly, inflation risks are...
arXiv:2406.12457v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: This paper studies optimal mechanisms for collecting and trading data. Consumers benefit from revealing information about their tastes to a...
arXiv:2501.16560v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We revisit the classic paper of Tirole "Asset Bubbles and Overlapping Generations" (1985, Econometrica), which shows that the emergence of...